{"id":10813,"date":"2024-01-10T15:23:05","date_gmt":"2024-01-10T13:23:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/egn.com\/se\/?p=10813"},"modified":"2024-01-10T16:55:10","modified_gmt":"2024-01-10T14:55:10","slug":"chefsekonom-forutspar-ett-osakert-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/egn.com\/se\/chefsekonom-forutspar-ett-osakert-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Avmattning och Krig: Chefsekonom f\u00f6rutsp\u00e5r ett os\u00e4kert 2024"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t
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\u00c5ret 2024 \u00e4r h\u00e4r och det har s\u00e4llan varit sv\u00e5rare att bedriva verksamhet i Norden.<\/strong><\/p>

Under de senaste \u00e5ren har allting kastats upp i luften, ekonomin har varit som en berg- och dalbana och v\u00e4rldssituationen har varit i st\u00e4ndig f\u00f6r\u00e4ndring. Men vad v\u00e4ntar oss i det nya \u00e5ret? Och hur kan man f\u00f6rbereda sig p\u00e5 n\u00e5got man inte vet vad det \u00e4r? Det har vi bett chefsekonomen p\u00e5 Danske Bank, Las Olsen, att ge en gissning p\u00e5 vad hur han tror ekonomi\u00e5ret 2024 kommer att se ut. L\u00e4s v\u00e5ra fr\u00e5gor och svar h\u00e4r nedan.<\/strong><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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Kan du ge en f\u00f6rsiktig \u00f6verblick \u00f6ver ekonomin \u00e5r 2024?<\/strong><\/em><\/p>

”Avmattning och risk f\u00f6r krig. Det l\u00e5ter dystert, men det \u00e4r kanske inte riktigt s\u00e5 svart som det kan l\u00e5ta. F\u00f6rra \u00e5ret hade vi denna mycket h\u00f6ga inflation. Den \u00e4r ett symptom p\u00e5 att vi k\u00f6r snabbare \u00e4n vi kan. Att vi f\u00f6rs\u00f6ker k\u00f6pa mer \u00e4n det som finns. Det g\u00f6r att priserna stiger. 2023 var en \u00f6verhettad ekonomi, och f\u00f6r att komma ur det beh\u00f6vs det en avmattning.<\/p>

Avmattning \u00e4r i det sammanhanget inte n\u00e5got d\u00e5ligt, \u00e4ven om det l\u00e4tt kan k\u00e4nnas s\u00e5 i m\u00e5nga konkreta f\u00f6retag. Tyv\u00e4rr har vi fortfarande f\u00f6r mycket tryck p\u00e5 m\u00e5nga st\u00e4llen, s\u00e5 vi m\u00e5ste d\u00e4mpa ytterligare innan vi \u00e4r d\u00e4r vi beh\u00f6ver vara. Det \u00e4r n\u00f6dv\u00e4ndigt att s\u00e4nka farten, annars g\u00e5r det fel.<\/p>

Det \u00e4r huvudscenariot f\u00f6r 2024 och det kommer f\u00f6rmodligen att leda till n\u00e5got h\u00f6gre arbetsl\u00f6shet. Fler f\u00f6retag kommer att uppleva att det inte \u00e4r s\u00e5 l\u00e4tt att s\u00e4lja sina produkter som det tidigare har varit. Men det blir i en s\u00e5 pass m\u00e5ttlig omfattning att vi \u00e5 andra sidan g\u00e5r in i en mer h\u00e5llbar ekonomi p\u00e5 l\u00e5ng sikt.”<\/p>

Varf\u00f6r \u00e4r det extra viktigt f\u00f6r m\u00e4nniskor inom enskilda f\u00f6retag att f\u00f6lja med i de makroekonomiska f\u00f6rh\u00e5llandena just nu?<\/strong><\/em><\/p>

”N\u00e5gra branscher p\u00e5verkas inte s\u00e4rskilt av konjunkturerna. Men det finns m\u00e5nga f\u00f6retag som \u00e4r mycket k\u00e4nsliga. De m\u00e5ste kartl\u00e4gga vad som ligger till grund f\u00f6r ekonomin i deras f\u00f6retag. \u00c4r det interna orsaker eller ligger det en samh\u00e4llsr\u00f6relse till grund. Och just nu har vi bara en mycket os\u00e4ker verklighet.\u00a0<\/p>

Det \u00e4r aldrig helt f\u00f6ruts\u00e4gbart, men just nu finns det s\u00e5 mycket os\u00e4kerhet p\u00e5 grund av denna konjunkturv\u00e4ndning efter en stor \u00f6verhettning. Det b\u00f6r man vara mycket uppm\u00e4rksam p\u00e5 i sitt eget f\u00f6retag.”<\/p>

Och sedan finns det krig. Vad inneb\u00e4r det f\u00f6r oss?<\/strong><\/em><\/p>

”Det \u00e4r ju ocks\u00e5 en av de faktorer som kommer utifr\u00e5n. P\u00e5 ett s\u00e4tt \u00e4r det inte n\u00e5got som v\u00e4nder upp och ned p\u00e5 de flesta danska f\u00f6retagens vardag s\u00e5 l\u00e4nge de l\u00e4nder som \u00e4r involverade inte utg\u00f6r en stor del av ekonomin och utrikeshandeln, vilket \u00e4r fallet f\u00f6r n\u00e4rvarande. Men det har \u00e4nd\u00e5 en betydelse.<\/p>

Det kan uppst\u00e5 s.k. flaskhalsar. Det har vi bland annat sett med \u00f6kningen av gaspriserna som ett resultat av kriget i Ukraina. Om kriget i Israel sprider sig runt Mellan\u00f6stern kan vi ocks\u00e5 uppleva en stor \u00f6kning av energipriserna.”<\/p>

Varf\u00f6r \u00e4r det relevant f\u00f6r m\u00e4nniskor att f\u00f6lja med i dessa saker?<\/strong><\/em><\/p>

”Tyv\u00e4rr kan vi inte ber\u00e4tta hur utvecklingen kommer att vara de n\u00e4rmaste \u00e5ren, men vi kan ge n\u00e5gra gissningar om vad man kan f\u00f6rest\u00e4lla sig, och vi kan f\u00f6rs\u00f6ka s\u00e4ga n\u00e5got om vad man ska h\u00e5lla \u00f6gonen p\u00e5.<\/p>

F\u00f6rhoppningsvis kan vi ocks\u00e5 ge n\u00e5gra perspektiv p\u00e5 vilka problem som har kommit f\u00f6r att stanna, och vilka av de saker vi upplever just nu som \u00e4r mer kortvariga, och som vi bara beh\u00f6ver f\u00e5 \u00f6verst\u00f6kade. Likas\u00e5 m\u00e5ste vi prata om vilka omr\u00e5den i ekonomin de st\u00f6rsta svagheterna kommer att vara p\u00e5, vad som kommer att h\u00e4nda med r\u00e4ntan, varf\u00f6r den har stigit, och hur kan vi f\u00f6rest\u00e4lla oss att den forts\u00e4tter.<\/p>

Slutligen m\u00e5ste vi ocks\u00e5 prata om de viktigaste valutakurserna, som m\u00e5nga danska f\u00f6retag p\u00e5verkas av. Vi kan inte lova hur svaren p\u00e5 hur n\u00e4sta \u00e5r kommer att se ut, det kan man aldrig och s\u00e4rskilt inte nu, eftersom situationen \u00e4r s\u00e5 os\u00e4ker som den \u00e4r.”<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\tPhilip Nordentoft\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/h4>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t
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Content- & SEO Specialist<\/p>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t

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F\u00f6lj oss f\u00f6r mer inspiration<\/strong><\/h4>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t
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Hitta ett n\u00e4tverk<\/span>F\u00f6r dig<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t
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<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t
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\u00c5ret 2024 \u00e4r h\u00e4r och det har s\u00e4llan varit sv\u00e5rare att bedriva verksamhet i Norden. Under de senaste \u00e5ren har allting kastats upp i luften, ekonomin har varit som en berg- och dalbana och v\u00e4rldssituationen har varit i st\u00e4ndig f\u00f6r\u00e4ndring. Men vad v\u00e4ntar oss i det nya \u00e5ret? Och hur kan man f\u00f6rbereda sig p\u00e5Forts\u00e4tt l\u00e4sa ”Avmattning och Krig: Chefsekonom f\u00f6rutsp\u00e5r ett os\u00e4kert 2024”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":36,"featured_media":10814,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[80],"class_list":["post-10813","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-insights","tag-ekonomi"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"EGN Sverige| Chefsekonom f\u00f6rutsp\u00e5r ett os\u00e4kert 2024 | egn.se<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"EGN Sverige skapat bland annat inspirerande artiklar f\u00f6r chefer och ledare. H\u00e4r skriver vi om vad chefekonomen Las Olsen sp\u00e5r om 2024\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/egn.com\/se\/chefsekonom-forutspar-ett-osakert-2024\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"sv_SE\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Avmattning och Krig: Chefsekonom f\u00f6rutsp\u00e5r ett os\u00e4kert 2024\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Under de senaste \u00e5ren har allting kastats upp i luften, ekonomin har varit som en berg- och dalbana och v\u00e4rldssituationen har varit i st\u00e4ndig f\u00f6r\u00e4ndring. Men vad v\u00e4ntar oss i det nya \u00e5ret? Och hur kan man f\u00f6rbereda sig p\u00e5 n\u00e5got man inte vet vad det \u00e4r? Det har vi bett chefsekonomen p\u00e5 Danske Bank, Las Olsen, att ge en gissning p\u00e5. L\u00e4s v\u00e5ra fr\u00e5gor till honom h\u00e4r.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/egn.com\/se\/chefsekonom-forutspar-ett-osakert-2024\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"EGN Sverige\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/egnsverige\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-01-10T13:23:05+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-01-10T14:55:10+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/egn.com\/se\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/6\/2024\/01\/Chefsekonom_forutspar_ekonomiaret_2024.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"800\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"450\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"teddywestlund\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"Avmattning och Krig: Chefsekonom f\u00f6rutsp\u00e5r ett os\u00e4kert 2024\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"\u00c5ret 2024 \u00e4r h\u00e4r och det har s\u00e4llan varit sv\u00e5rare att bedriva verksamhet i Norden. Under de senaste \u00e5ren har allting kastats upp i luften, ekonomin har\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Skriven av\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"teddywestlund\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Ber\u00e4knad l\u00e4stid\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"4 minuter\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/egn.com\\\/se\\\/chefsekonom-forutspar-ett-osakert-2024\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/egn.com\\\/se\\\/chefsekonom-forutspar-ett-osakert-2024\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"teddywestlund\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/egn.com\\\/se\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/3da3209858548246e07549b3214acdf3\"},\"headline\":\"Avmattning och Krig: Chefsekonom f\u00f6rutsp\u00e5r ett os\u00e4kert 2024\",\"datePublished\":\"2024-01-10T13:23:05+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-01-10T14:55:10+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/egn.com\\\/se\\\/chefsekonom-forutspar-ett-osakert-2024\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":815,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/egn.com\\\/se\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/egn.com\\\/se\\\/chefsekonom-forutspar-ett-osakert-2024\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/egn.com\\\/se\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/sites\\\/6\\\/2024\\\/01\\\/Chefsekonom_forutspar_ekonomiaret_2024.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"Ekonomi\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Insights\"],\"inLanguage\":\"sv-SE\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/egn.com\\\/se\\\/chefsekonom-forutspar-ett-osakert-2024\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/egn.com\\\/se\\\/chefsekonom-forutspar-ett-osakert-2024\\\/\",\"name\":\"EGN Sverige| Chefsekonom f\u00f6rutsp\u00e5r ett os\u00e4kert 2024 | egn.se\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/egn.com\\\/se\\\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/egn.com\\\/se\\\/chefsekonom-forutspar-ett-osakert-2024\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/egn.com\\\/se\\\/chefsekonom-forutspar-ett-osakert-2024\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/egn.com\\\/se\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/sites\\\/6\\\/2024\\\/01\\\/Chefsekonom_forutspar_ekonomiaret_2024.jpg\",\"datePublished\":\"2024-01-10T13:23:05+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-01-10T14:55:10+00:00\",\"description\":\"EGN Sverige skapat bland annat inspirerande artiklar f\u00f6r chefer och ledare. 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